Thursday, December 18, 2014


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Where presidential candidates stand in New York

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CNY/NNY/S. Tier: Where presidential candidates stand in New York
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A new exclusive YNN-Marist College poll shows where the presidential candidates stand in New York. Our Bobby Cuza reports.

NEW YORK STATE -- It’s now essentially a two-man race. But while some national polls show Mitt Romney ahead of President Obama, here in New York, it’s a different story.

Our exclusive YNN-Marist College poll shows voters statewide support Obama over Romney 57 to 35 percent, with just eight percent undecided.

"Barack Obama has a double digit lead, 22 percentage points, over Mitt Romney in New York State. And that doesn’t come as any shocking news," Marist pollster Lee Miringoff said.

But the poll does show some stark demographic and geographic differences. In New York City, for instance, Obama enjoys a 46 percentage point lead over Romney. Upstate, his lead is just 10 points.

The racial divide is even wider: Among whites, Obama leads 48 to 43 percent, just a five point margin. Among non-whites, he leads by 63 points.

Similarly, among men, Obama enjoys a nine point lead. Among women, it’s 34 points.

Miringoff said, "You see that as a huge gender gap in New York. We’re seeing it nationally as well. In New York, of course, he’s carrying men as well. Nationally, that can be a very different picture."

With New York leaning heavily towards Obama, we probably won’t see much of the candidates here this fall, except to fundraise. But what may be of concern to the president are his approval numbers, which even here in New York remain mired under 50 percent.

Just 47 percent of New York voters approve of Obama’s job performance, versus 53 percent who disapprove.

"So it’s not that people think he’s doing such a terrific job. It’s just that when it comes a choice between Obama and Romney, they clearly go in Obama’s direction," Miringoff said.

Meanwhile, the poll shows Senator Kirsten Gillibrand well-positioned as she runs for her first full term in office as 42 percent say they plan to vote for her. Just 23 percent say they’ll vote against her and 35 percent are unsure.

Meanwhile, her Democratic colleague, Senator Charles Schumer, is coasting along with a 54 percent approval rating, though he won’t face re-election until 2016. ClientIP:, UserAgent: CCBot/2.0 ( Profile: TWCSAMLSP